Tochigi SC 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Oct 2025

Tochigi SC
0-1 HT 0-1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tochigi SC v Giravanz Kitakyushu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.15/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.09
-18% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.5 Crosses 14.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.05.2025 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP3
28.11.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
05.05.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
15.11.2020 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
02.09.2020 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
08.11.2015 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2

Tochigi SC 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
0-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
47% Ball Possession 53%
26 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
261 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi SC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 47% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 53%, shots finished 26-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.33 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Tochigi SC 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 49%, draw 30%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tochigi SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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