Gainare Tottori 1-2 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.39/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.52
+14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +135%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses 23.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Osaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 Passes 182
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Osaka Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
24.08.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-1 HT 0-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
15.06.2024 Osaka Osaka 2-1 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
28.10.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
1-2
AWAY Osaka
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
481 Passes 130
83% Pass Accuracy 58%
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka squeezed past Gainare Tottori 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osaka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 72% of the ball to Osaka's 28%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.25 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Osaka?

Gainare Tottori 1-2 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 34%, draw 25%, Osaka 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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