Gainare Tottori 2-1 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.20/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.80
+2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Osaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Osaka Osaka 2-1 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
28.10.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-1
AWAY Osaka
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
400 Passes 158
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori edged past Osaka 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Osaka at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 67% of the ball to Osaka's 33%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.50 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Osaka?

Gainare Tottori 2-1 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 32%, draw 25%, Osaka 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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