Kataller Toyama 3-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.47/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.25
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
472 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 3-1 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
12.08.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
29.04.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-0 HT 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
06.11.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 4-3 HT 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
09.07.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
26.10.2014 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
3-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 8
223 Passes 261
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama ran out comfortable winners over Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 45% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 55%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.50 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Kataller Toyama 3-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 42%, draw 25%, Matsumoto Yamaga 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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