Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kataller Toyama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matsumoto Yamaga v Kataller Toyama — Team-Based Signals
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kataller Toyama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kataller Toyama
JAP3
3-0
HT 2-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
4-3
HT 2-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
1-0
HT 1-0
Kataller Toyama
JAP3
2-1
HT 0-0
Kataller Toyama
JAP2
3-2
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
Matsumoto Yamaga 3-1 Kataller Toyama — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga got the better of Kataller Toyama 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 49% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 51%, shots finished 8-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 2.00 for Kataller Toyama.
What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kataller Toyama?
Matsumoto Yamaga 3-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kataller Toyama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 38%, draw 29%, Kataller Toyama 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.