Gainare Tottori 2-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.24/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.03
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ryukyu
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 3-2 HT 2-2 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
03.05.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-3 HT 1-3 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-1
AWAY Ryukyu
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori nicked a narrow win over Ryukyu 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Gainare Tottori made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 38% of the ball to Ryukyu's 62%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gainare Tottori and 2.00 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu?

Gainare Tottori 2-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 40%, draw 24%, Ryukyu 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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