Osaka 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
0.94/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.31
-29% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-2 HT 0-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
29.04.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
2-2
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka and Azul Claro Numazu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osaka had 37% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 63%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osaka and 0.50 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Osaka 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osaka 37%, draw 30%, Azul Claro Numazu 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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