Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-0 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
0.93/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.78
-44% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
23.09.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
28.05.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
14.03.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3-0
AWAY Grulla Morioka
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
175 Passes 330
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki cruised past Grulla Morioka 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 41% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 59%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.75 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Grulla Morioka?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-0 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 43%, draw 25%, Grulla Morioka 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Under 2.5
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