Union Magdalena vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Magdalena v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
Union Magdalena vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
3-1
HT 1-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
2-1
HT 2-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
Union Magdalena 3-2 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
Union Magdalena squeezed past Aguilas Doradas 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Union Magdalena found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Magdalena had 47% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.33 for Aguilas Doradas.
What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Aguilas Doradas?
Union Magdalena 3-2 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 34%, draw 26%, Aguilas Doradas 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.