Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 3-3 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 41% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 59%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.44 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera?
Deportivo Pasto 3-3 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 39%, draw 25%, Alianza Petrolera 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.