Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

Rezekne / BJSS
2-1 HT 1-1
Marupe
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Rezekne / BJSS vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rezekne / BJSS v Marupe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 52%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.59/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.87
+99% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rezekne / BJSS vs Marupe Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Marupe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
24.05.2025 Marupe Marupe 1-1 HT 0-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
30.06.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rezekne / BJSS nicked a narrow win over Marupe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Marupe at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rezekne / BJSS and 1.00 for Marupe.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Marupe?

Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 26%, draw 21%, Marupe 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marupe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marupe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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