JDFS Alberts 2-0 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.04/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.32
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
258 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
3W-1D-0L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.05.2025 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-1 HT 0-1 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
06.07.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
28.10.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-3 HT 0-2 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
08.07.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 2-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts got the better of JFK Ventspils 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for JDFS Alberts and 1.00 for JFK Ventspils.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?

JDFS Alberts 2-0 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 63%, draw 19%, JFK Ventspils 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5
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