Jerv 2-0 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 36%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.00/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
-44% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sotra SK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 2-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
07.07.2024 Jerv Jerv 1-1 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
27.04.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-2 HT 0-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv beat Sotra SK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jerv and 1.00 for Sotra SK.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Sotra SK?

Jerv 2-0 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jerv 42%, draw 25%, Sotra SK 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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