Stal Stalowa Wola 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.19
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
03.03.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
19.08.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 5-2 HT 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
2-3
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice edged past Stal Stalowa Wola 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Stalowa Wola at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 52% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 48%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stal Stalowa Wola had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.33 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Stal Stalowa Wola 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 44%, draw 22%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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