Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
9%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 14%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.30/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.13
+7% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
28.09.2024 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
02.04.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
17.09.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
22.05.2021 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-0 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
28.11.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec edged past Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 67% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 33%, shots finished 24-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 0.83 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 67%, draw 21%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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