GMG Kastamonuspor 0-2 İskenderunspor A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.4pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.16/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.71
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +104%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-1D-2L
AWAY İskenderunspor A.Ş.
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-1 HT 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-B
24.03.2024 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 0-3 HT 0-3 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
12.11.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 3-4 HT 1-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
09.04.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-2 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. T2L-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs İskenderunspor A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. got the better of GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İskenderunspor A.Ş. led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 1.75 for İskenderunspor A.Ş..

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs İskenderunspor A.Ş.?

GMG Kastamonuspor 0-2 İskenderunspor A.Ş. in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs İskenderunspor A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 54%, draw 22%, İskenderunspor A.Ş. 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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