Shakhtar Donetsk 1-4 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.48
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
13%
5.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.08
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk The Market 68%
Signal
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.68
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Strong Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
4W-0D-0L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2025 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-4 HT 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
06.10.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-1 HT 2-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
27.04.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
21.10.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1 - 4
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
REVIEW Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

LNZ Cherkasy dismantled Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Shakhtar Donetsk carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.66, roughly 60%.

Under the surface, Shakhtar Donetsk had 55% of the ball to LNZ Cherkasy's 45%, shots finished 8-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.50 for LNZ Cherkasy.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy Result & Final Score

Shakhtar Donetsk 1 - 4 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 66%, draw 21%, LNZ Cherkasy 13%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
5 Oct 2025
13:00 Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka Analysis →
15:30 Dynamo Kiev vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Analysis →