Shakhtar Donetsk 5-1 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.6pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.37/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.11
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +77%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 9
27.04.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
21.10.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5-1
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past LNZ Cherkasy 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.00 for LNZ Cherkasy.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Shakhtar Donetsk 5-1 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 57%, draw 25%, LNZ Cherkasy 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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