Polessya 2-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 26%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
0.83/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.39
-45% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
29.04.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.04.2024 Polessya Polessya 0-1 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKRK
22.10.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-3 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
2-1
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
12 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over Vorskla Poltava 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Polessya and 0.33 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava?

Polessya 2-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Polessya 45%, draw 29%, Vorskla Poltava 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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