Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.02/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/3.34
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -53%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
18.05.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-1 HT 2-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
12.11.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-2 HT 0-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
08.05.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
30.10.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-1 HT 2-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev squeezed past Kryvbas KR 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 0.50 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Kryvbas KR?

Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 57%, draw 25%, Kryvbas KR 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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