Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.13/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.12
-22% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
29.11.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
18.06.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 4-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
03.05.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
05.12.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-2 HT 2-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
22.11.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 2-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-1
AWAY Plaza Colonia
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia nicked a narrow win over Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 62% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 38%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.00 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 48%, draw 25%, Plaza Colonia 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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