Nacional de Football 2-1 Cerro Largo — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:22
Match Result
HomeVIEW
71%
1.4
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
10%
6.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.12
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nacional de Football The Market 71%
Signal
AWAY Cerro Largo The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.63
0.75 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Great Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Great
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
490 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cerro Largo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-4 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
13.10.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.06.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-4 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.04.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.08.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.07.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
2 - 1
AWAY Cerro Largo
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Nacional de Football's favour, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Nacional de Football against 0.33 for Cerro Largo.

Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo Result & Final Score

Nacional de Football 2 - 1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 71%, draw 19%, Cerro Largo 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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