Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
URU
Nacional de Football 2-1 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 63% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 37%, shots finished 15-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.33 for Cerro Largo.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo?
Nacional de Football 2-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 66%, draw 22%, Cerro Largo 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.