Cerro Largo 0-4 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.10/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.21
-2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.10.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.06.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-4 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.04.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.08.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.07.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
11.02.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football cruised past Cerro Largo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Nacional de Football made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football?

Cerro Largo 0-4 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 31%, draw 31%, Nacional de Football 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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