Cerro 0-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +0%
1.05/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.42
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Progreso
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Cerro URU
01.03.2024 Cerro Cerro 2-3 HT 2-1 Progreso Progreso URU
10.09.2022 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
07.02.2021 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
16.08.2020 Progreso Progreso 2-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Cerro URU
03.11.2019 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-0
AWAY Progreso
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Progreso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Progreso played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cerro had 49% of the ball to Progreso's 51%, shots finished 9-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro and 1.17 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Progreso?

Cerro 0-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerro 41%, draw 29%, Progreso 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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