Cerro Largo 0-1 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
12%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 70%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
0.50/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.86
-43% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.06.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-4 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.04.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.08.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.07.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
11.02.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
26.09.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.50 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football?

Cerro Largo 0-1 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 21%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate Analysis →
00:00 Miramar Misiones vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →