Progreso vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
2-0
HT 2-0
Cerro
URU
Progreso 2-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso saw off Cerro 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Progreso as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Progreso had 51% of the ball to Cerro's 49%, shots finished 10-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 1.00 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Cerro?
Progreso 2-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Progreso 49%, draw 26%, Cerro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.