Progreso vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Progreso 2-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso saw off Cerro 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Progreso as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Progreso had 51% of the ball to Cerro's 49%, shots finished 10-14.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 1.00 for Cerro.
Progreso vs Cerro Result & Final Score
Progreso 2 - 0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Cerro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Progreso 45%, draw 30%, Cerro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.