Midtjylland U19 5-0 Progrès Niederkorn U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
25%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.0
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
34.5
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
41%
5.5
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
1.59
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 5.5 — our 41% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
85%
-28.0pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.3pp
25%
Away Win
6%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland U19 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Niederkorn U19 EU Bookmakers 9%
-90% / -90% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Progrès Niederkorn U19
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 2
15 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Progrès Niederkorn U19 0-4 HT 0-2 Midtjylland U19 Midtjylland U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland U19
5-0
AWAY Progrès Niederkorn U19
68% Ball Possession 32%
35 Total Shots 5
19 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Midtjylland U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland U19 cruised past Progrès Niederkorn U19 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Midtjylland U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Midtjylland U19 had 68% of the ball to Progrès Niederkorn U19's 32%, shots finished 35-5.

What was the final score of Midtjylland U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19?

Midtjylland U19 5-0 Progrès Niederkorn U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland U19 57%, draw 18%, Progrès Niederkorn U19 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland U19), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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