FK Pardubice 3-4 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
52%
Away Win
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
218 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.03.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 5-2 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
05.03.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEKK
26.10.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
17.03.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
07.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
3-4
AWAY Banik Ostrava
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 26
7 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava squeezed past FK Pardubice 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 47% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 53%, shots finished 13-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Pardubice and 2.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava?

FK Pardubice 3-4 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Cup on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 26%, draw 22%, Banik Ostrava 52%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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