Arkadag 1-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Nov 2025

Arkadag
1-1 HT 1-1
Al Ahli
📅05/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Arkadag vs Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arkadag v Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arkadag EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arkadag vs Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arkadag
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 0.77
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
238 Passes 533
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.10.2025 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-0 Arkadag Arkadag AFCŞL2
POST-MATCH Arkadag vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arkadag and Al Ahli shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Arkadag vs Al Ahli?

Arkadag 1-1 Al Ahli in the AFCŞL2 on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arkadag vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arkadag 28%, draw 26%, Al Ahli 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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