Al Zawraa 2-1 Istiqlol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.45
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 37% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Istiqlol EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +72%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Istiqlol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2025 Istiqlol Istiqlol 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Zawraa
2-1
AWAY Istiqlol
1.84 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Istiqlol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa squeezed past Istiqlol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Zawraa had 55% of the ball to Istiqlol's 45%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.84 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Istiqlol?

Al Zawraa 2-1 Istiqlol in the AFCŞL2 on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Istiqlol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 53%, draw 25%, Istiqlol 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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