05/11/2025
·
21:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al Wihdat vs Esteghlal FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63
— our 35% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
27%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
47%
61%
Under 2.5
56%
39%
Over 2.5
44%
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
50%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Wihdat v Esteghlal FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Wihdat
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Esteghlal FC
EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+29%
/
-24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
287 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
315 · 79%
15.6
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
16.9
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
–
Al Wihdat vs Esteghlal FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Wihdat
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Esteghlal FC
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
0.47
xG
2.45
42%
Ball Possession
58%
7
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Target
10
6
Corners
8
237
Passes
367
75%
Pass Accuracy
84%
13
Box Touches
24
11
Crosses
21
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
Al Wihdat 1-1 Esteghlal FC — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Al Wihdat
1-1
AWAY
Esteghlal FC
0.50
xG
1.25
40%
Ball Possession
60%
13
Total Shots
17
8
Shots on Target
7
0
Corners
7
236
Passes
377
76%
Pass Accuracy
83%
14
Box Touches
21
3
Crosses
17
5
Yellow Cards
0
POST-MATCH
Al Wihdat vs Esteghlal FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Wihdat and Esteghlal FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Wihdat had 40% of the ball to Esteghlal FC's 60%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.50 to 1.25.
What was the final score of Al Wihdat vs Esteghlal FC?
Al Wihdat 1-1 Esteghlal FC in the AFCŞL2 on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Wihdat vs Esteghlal FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wihdat win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Wihdat 38%, draw 27%, Esteghlal FC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Wihdat) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Wihdat)
✓ Under 2.5
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5 Nov 2025