Esteghlal FC 2-0 Al Wihdat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wihdat EU Bookmakers 18%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.29/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.87
-100% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
28.0 Crosses 8.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esteghlal FC
2-0
AWAY Al Wihdat
2.45 xG 0.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
367 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esteghlal FC vs Al Wihdat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal FC got the better of Al Wihdat 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esteghlal FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Esteghlal FC had 58% of the ball to Al Wihdat's 42%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.45 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Esteghlal FC vs Al Wihdat?

Esteghlal FC 2-0 Al Wihdat in the AFCŞL2 on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal FC vs Al Wihdat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal FC 56%, draw 20%, Al Wihdat 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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