FC Goa 1-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 22 Oct 2025

FC Goa
1-2 HT 1-2
Al Nassr
📅22/10/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

FC Goa vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
74%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.75
No
48%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.89
2-3 Goals
40%
2.18
4-5 Goals
27%
2.35
6+ Goals
12%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
8%
+3.3pp
15%
Draw
13%
+2.5pp
74%
Away Win
79%
-5.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
32%
+20.2pp
48%
BTTS No
68%
-20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / –
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
239 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 532 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
– Crosses 23.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

FC Goa 1-2 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
1-2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.40 xG 1.30
19% Ball Possession 81%
2 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
107 Passes 614
67% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr squeezed past FC Goa 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Goa had 19% of the ball to Al Nassr's 81%, shots finished 2-18, expected goals 0.40 to 1.30.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Al Nassr?

FC Goa 1-2 Al Nassr in the AFCŞL2 on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 11%, draw 15%, Al Nassr 74%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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