Al Ahli 2-2 Arkadag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
8%
9.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Arkadag EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 40.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Arkadag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli and Arkadag couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ahli carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Arkadag?

Al Ahli 2-2 Arkadag in the AFCŞL2 on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Arkadag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 61%, draw 18%, Arkadag 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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