Istiqlol 2-1 Al Zawraa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 22 Oct 2025

Istiqlol
2-1 HT 1-1
Al Zawraa
📅22/10/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Istiqlol vs Al Zawraa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istiqlol v Al Zawraa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istiqlol EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 37%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
– Crosses 5.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Istiqlol 2-1 Al Zawraa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istiqlol
2-1
AWAY Al Zawraa
1.43 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 347
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istiqlol vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istiqlol squeezed past Al Zawraa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Istiqlol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Istiqlol had 45% of the ball to Al Zawraa's 55%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.43 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Istiqlol vs Al Zawraa?

Istiqlol 2-1 Al Zawraa in the AFCŞL2 on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istiqlol vs Al Zawraa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Istiqlol 34%, draw 26%, Al Zawraa 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Zawraa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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