Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-3 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.90/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.12
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +145%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 84%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
12.5 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
250 Passes 265
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
02.11.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
16.03.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2-3
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.30 xG 2.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
375 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) edged past Essen-Schönebeck (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Werder Bremen (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 57% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.30 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Essen-Schönebeck (K) and 0.67 for Werder Bremen (K).

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-3 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 26%, draw 24%, Werder Bremen (K) 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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