Durban City 1-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
7.44
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+6.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.7pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.2pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Durban City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 28%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.33/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.34
+43% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.4 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Durban City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.62 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 435
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Durban City Durban City 0-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Durban City
1-0
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.95 xG 0.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 157
72% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Durban City vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Durban City squeezed past Marumo Gallants 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Durban City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Durban City had 59% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.95 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Durban City's control.

What was the final score of Durban City vs Marumo Gallants?

Durban City 1-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Durban City vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Durban City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Durban City 51%, draw 30%, Marumo Gallants 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Durban City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Durban City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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