Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
72%
+0.4pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.0pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.3pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.68/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.52
+61% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
12.6 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3W-2D-1L
AWAY TS Galaxy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 0.98
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
506 Passes 173
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 HT 3-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
11.02.2025 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-0 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
21.05.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
29.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
18.10.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
24.01.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0
AWAY TS Galaxy
1.01 xG 0.99
77% Ball Possession 23%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
554 Passes 96
89% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns edged past TS Galaxy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 77% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 23%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.01 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.00 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs TS Galaxy?

Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 73%, draw 18%, TS Galaxy 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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