TS Galaxy 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 36% vs market 31.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
13%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.85
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +64%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
13.7 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TS Galaxy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
204 Passes 495
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
29.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
18.10.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
24.01.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
02.03.2022 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 0-3 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TS Galaxy
1-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.48 xG 0.42
25% Ball Possession 75%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
116 Passes 519
59% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TS Galaxy edged past Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, TS Galaxy had 25% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 75%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.48 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for TS Galaxy and 1.83 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

TS Galaxy 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split TS Galaxy 22%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →