Golden Arrows 1-3 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-8.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.11/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.71
+62% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
15.5 Crosses 17.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.62 xG 2.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-0 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
06.05.2025 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
06.04.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 7-1 HT 3-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
17.12.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-2 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
14.01.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
18.10.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
1-3
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.74 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
385 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates saw off Golden Arrows 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 49% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 51%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Golden Arrows and 3.17 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates?

Golden Arrows 1-3 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 23%, draw 26%, Orlando Pirates 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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