Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.98
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 37% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.6pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.52/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
+25% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
14.8 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2W-2D-2L
AWAY TS Galaxy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 0.95
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
502 Passes 168
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-0 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
21.05.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
29.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
18.10.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
24.01.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1
AWAY TS Galaxy
3.22 xG 1.05
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
583 Passes 216
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns ran out comfortable winners over TS Galaxy 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 68% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 32%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 3.22 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.00 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs TS Galaxy?

Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 50%, draw 28%, TS Galaxy 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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