Orlando Pirates 2-1 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.80/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.24
+27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
16.8 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cape Town City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.37 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
344 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2025 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
31.08.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 2-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAF8K
28.08.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
01.05.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
29.08.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
22.04.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
2-1
AWAY Cape Town City
2.03 xG 0.61
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
408 Passes 143
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Cape Town City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 70% of the ball to Cape Town City's 30%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Orlando Pirates's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.50 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Cape Town City?

Orlando Pirates 2-1 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 58%, draw 24%, Cape Town City 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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