Cape Town City 1-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.36
Over 2.5
44%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
18%
7.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
70%
-13.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
30%
+13.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 45%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.70/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.15
-26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
36.6 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
298 Passes 395
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
29.08.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
22.04.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
07.01.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
02.03.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
02.10.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
1-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.67 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City and Orlando Pirates couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cape Town City had 53% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 47%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.67 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cape Town City and 1.33 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates?

Cape Town City 1-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 28%, draw 29%, Orlando Pirates 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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