Cape Town City 0-2 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 37% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.22/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.79
-12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.7 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.61 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
331 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
22.04.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
07.01.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
02.03.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
02.10.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
09.02.2021 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 2-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
0-2
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.65 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
226 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates saw off Cape Town City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Orlando Pirates found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cape Town City had 43% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.65 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cape Town City and 1.33 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates?

Cape Town City 0-2 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 34%, draw 29%, Orlando Pirates 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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