Stellenbosch FC 3-0 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.44/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.66
+49% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
15.0 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.62 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 371
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
29.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 5-2 HT 4-2 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
14.10.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-1 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
06.04.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
06.11.2021 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
05.06.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
3-0
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.69 xG 0.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
413 Passes 369
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 8
6 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC cruised past Golden Arrows 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stellenbosch FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 52% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 48%, shots finished 15-1, expected goals 1.69 to 0.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 0.50 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows?

Stellenbosch FC 3-0 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 58%, draw 24%, Golden Arrows 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stellenbosch FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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