Royal AM 0-1 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 38% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.8pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal AM EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 49%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -14%
0.98/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.20
+38% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
14.1 Crosses 26.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal AM
2W-1D-2L
AWAY SuperSport United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.32 xG 1.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
272 Passes 198
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-1 HT 1-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
18.02.2023 Royal AM Royal AM 1-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
04.10.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-1 HT 0-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
27.02.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-2 HT 0-1 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
02.11.2021 Royal AM Royal AM 2-1 HT 0-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal AM
0-1
AWAY SuperSport United
0.22 xG 0.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
415 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Royal AM vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United edged past Royal AM 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SuperSport United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Royal AM had 60% of the ball to SuperSport United's 40%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.22 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Royal AM and 1.60 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Royal AM vs SuperSport United?

Royal AM 0-1 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal AM vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated an SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Royal AM 29%, draw 29%, SuperSport United 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SuperSport United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
1 May 2024
16:00 Cape Town City vs Orlando Pirates Analysis →
16:00 Chippa United vs Moroka Swallows Analysis →
18:30 Stellenbosch FC vs Golden Arrows Analysis →