Chippa United 1-2 Moroka Swallows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 May 2024

Chippa United
1-2 HT 1-0
Moroka Swallows
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chippa United vs Moroka Swallows Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.79
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chippa United v Moroka Swallows — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippa United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Moroka Swallows EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
0.81/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.01
+46% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.3 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chippa United vs Moroka Swallows Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippa United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Moroka Swallows
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.64 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
400 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
26.02.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 1-2 HT 1-1 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
06.01.2023 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
14.05.2022 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
20.03.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 2-2 HT 0-2 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
20.01.2021 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 1-1 HT 1-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL

Chippa United 1-2 Moroka Swallows — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippa United
1-2
AWAY Moroka Swallows
2.26 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
221 Passes 242
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chippa United vs Moroka Swallows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moroka Swallows edged past Chippa United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Moroka Swallows made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippa United had 48% of the ball to Moroka Swallows's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.26 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chippa United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moroka Swallows led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chippa United and 1.17 for Moroka Swallows.

What was the final score of Chippa United vs Moroka Swallows?

Chippa United 1-2 Moroka Swallows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippa United vs Moroka Swallows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippa United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chippa United 35%, draw 33%, Moroka Swallows 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chippa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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