Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.8pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.41
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
17.4 Crosses 11.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 1.21
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
484 Passes 192
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
05.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
27.09.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 2-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
15.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
05.03.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
24.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
0-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.53 xG 1.14
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
391 Passes 139
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC squeezed past Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 69% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 31%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.53 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.83 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC?

Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Cup on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 52%, draw 25%, Stellenbosch FC 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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