Orlando Pirates 2-0 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.48/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.02
-29% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.1 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cape Town City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 0.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
391 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
01.05.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
29.08.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
22.04.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
07.01.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
02.03.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
2-0
AWAY Cape Town City
1.78 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates saw off Cape Town City 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 54% of the ball to Cape Town City's 46%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.67 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Cape Town City?

Orlando Pirates 2-0 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 47%, draw 23%, Cape Town City 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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