Cultural San 1-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 51%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.32/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.83
+64% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.6 Crosses 18.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.43 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
238 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
24.08.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
29.03.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 2-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
1-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.56 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
277 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cultural San had 50% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 50%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.56 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cultural San and 1.67 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Alianza Lima?

Cultural San 1-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 29%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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